Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FORTH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 1.879043 1.964488 2.054788 2.157889 2.273067 2.398655 2.547183
2025-11-23 1.775238 1.884487 2.004046 2.146066 2.312219 2.503217 2.743747
2025-11-30 1.716357 1.842535 1.984276 2.157899 2.368760 2.622297 2.960236
2025-12-07 1.635266 1.767492 1.918434 2.106948 2.341533 2.632294 3.035789
2025-12-14 1.586206 1.725613 1.887225 2.092934 2.355234 2.690714 3.176914
2025-12-21 1.539893 1.683905 1.852938 2.071457 2.355828 2.729489 3.292486
2025-12-28 1.520809 1.673257 1.854862 2.094108 2.413448 2.847829 3.537301
2026-01-04 1.509378 1.670807 1.865985 2.128114 2.487403 2.994794 3.849565
2026-01-11 1.481478 1.646613 1.848280 2.122724 2.505953 3.062017 4.042167
2026-01-18 1.460184 1.629604 1.838611 2.126924 2.537411 3.150596 4.287809
2026-01-25 1.422298 1.590418 1.798825 2.088195 2.504122 3.134518 4.334871
2026-02-01 1.400242 1.570507 1.783175 2.081518 2.516884 3.192478 4.537066
2026-02-08 1.377348 1.549530 1.766236 2.073445 2.528813 3.253257 4.767231
2026-02-15 1.354818 1.528254 1.748006 2.062454 2.535178 3.304724 4.990692
2026-02-22 1.342225 1.519257 1.745521 2.073259 2.575285 3.418538 5.395821
2026-03-01 1.308654 1.482136 1.704195 2.026526 2.521902 3.358665 5.345687
2026-03-08 1.289314 1.463130 1.686740 2.013654 2.521729 3.396632 5.568961
2026-03-15 1.268410 1.441570 1.665190 1.993911 2.509227 3.410096 5.729640
2026-03-22 1.263154 1.440383 1.671215 2.014732 2.563928 3.558390 6.359619
2026-03-29 1.261733 1.444132 1.683981 2.045947 2.638011 3.756521 7.307790
2026-04-05 1.248096 1.431218 1.673194 2.041004 2.649844 3.826597 7.836286
2026-04-12 1.237986 1.422774 1.668359 2.044856 2.677089 3.933914 8.640021
2026-04-19 1.215362 1.397051 1.638640 2.009299 2.632540 3.874705 8.568650